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政治·主要

伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

達倫·貝利 100.0%

Rick Heidner <1%

Gregg Moore <1%

Max Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$11,877 交易量

達倫·貝利 100.0%

Rick Heidner <1%

Gregg Moore <1%

Max Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$11,877 交易量

達倫·貝利

$0 交易量

是

Rick Heidner

$0 交易量

否

Gregg Moore

$0 交易量

否

Max Solomon

$0 交易量

否

Ted Dabrowski

$11,877 交易量

否

詹姆斯·門德里克

$0 交易量

否

約瑟夫·塞韋里諾

$0 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$11,877
結束日期
Mar 17, 2026
市場開放時間
Dec 9, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Illinois, scheduled to take place on March 17, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Illinois Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Darren Bailey as the Republican nominee for Illinois governor, reflecting his commanding early lead in the 2026 GOP primary race. Bailey's position stems from high name recognition as the 2022 nominee who mounted a competitive challenge against incumbent JB Pritzker, coupled with his recent campaign launch, superior fundraising, and endorsements from key conservative figures amid a sparse field of challengers like Rick Heidner and others. No recent polls show viable competition, reinforcing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include a high-profile entrant such as a prominent state legislator or business leader, scandals impacting Bailey's farm-state appeal, or shifts in national GOP dynamics before the March 2026 primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "達倫·貝利" at 100%, followed by "Rick Heidner" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $11.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "達倫·貝利" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rick Heidner" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "伊利諾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.