Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding trader consensus at 93.8% reflects Idaho's longstanding Republican trifecta and historical dominance in gubernatorial races, with no Democratic victor since 1994 and Little's 60% win in 2022. His February announcement for a third term, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, solidified his frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring lesser-known challengers like bar owner Mark Fitzpatrick. The Democratic primary pits attorney Terri Pickens against Maxine Durand and others lacking statewide profile. With the May 19 primary approaching, odds imply low risk of a weakened nominee; realistic shifts would require a major Little scandal, primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$3,592 交易量
94%
民主黨
$3,337 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding trader consensus at 93.8% reflects Idaho's longstanding Republican trifecta and historical dominance in gubernatorial races, with no Democratic victor since 1994 and Little's 60% win in 2022. His February announcement for a third term, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, solidified his frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring lesser-known challengers like bar owner Mark Fitzpatrick. The Democratic primary pits attorney Terri Pickens against Maxine Durand and others lacking statewide profile. With the May 19 primary approaching, odds imply low risk of a weakened nominee; realistic shifts would require a major Little scandal, primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$6,929結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding trader consensus at 93.8% reflects Idaho's longstanding Republican trifecta and historical dominance in gubernatorial races, with no Democratic victor since 1994 and Little's 60% win in 2022. His February announcement for a third term, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, solidified his frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring lesser-known challengers like bar owner Mark Fitzpatrick. The Democratic primary pits attorney Terri Pickens against Maxine Durand and others lacking statewide profile. With the May 19 primary approaching, odds imply low risk of a weakened nominee; realistic shifts would require a major Little scandal, primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$6,929結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding trader consensus at 93.8% reflects Idaho's longstanding Republican trifecta and historical dominance in gubernatorial races, with no Democratic victor since 1994 and Little's 60% win in 2022. His February announcement for a third term, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, solidified his frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring lesser-known challengers like bar owner Mark Fitzpatrick. The Democratic primary pits attorney Terri Pickens against Maxine Durand and others lacking statewide profile. With the May 19 primary approaching, odds imply low risk of a weakened nominee; realistic shifts would require a major Little scandal, primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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