Environment Canada’s latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects Toronto’s highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 3 amid mainly cloudy skies, a 60% chance of morning showers, and southwest winds gusting to 60 km/h, strongly supporting the market’s 99.6% implied probability for 9°C or higher. This reflects consensus among global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF, which indicate warm air advection from a developing upper-level ridge following recent spring-like highs, including 21°C on March 30. Historical April averages hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic patterns favor above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy showers or unexpected cloud persistence suppressing daytime heating, though low-level wind shear and model agreement limit such risks; monitor hourly observations from Toronto Pearson Airport for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
9°C or higher 99.6%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$135,036 交易量
$135,036 交易量
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
100%
9°C or higher 99.6%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$135,036 交易量
$135,036 交易量
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada’s latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects Toronto’s highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 3 amid mainly cloudy skies, a 60% chance of morning showers, and southwest winds gusting to 60 km/h, strongly supporting the market’s 99.6% implied probability for 9°C or higher. This reflects consensus among global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF, which indicate warm air advection from a developing upper-level ridge following recent spring-like highs, including 21°C on March 30. Historical April averages hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic patterns favor above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy showers or unexpected cloud persistence suppressing daytime heating, though low-level wind shear and model agreement limit such risks; monitor hourly observations from Toronto Pearson Airport for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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