Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued April 1, projects a daytime high near 21°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and southwest winds gusting to 60 km/h. This warm surge, well above the early April climatological average of 10–12°C, stems from a ridge of high pressure ushering mild air masses northward, with consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GEM reinforcing sustained temperatures in the 9°C or higher range that dominates trader sentiment at 99.6% implied probability. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or a sudden cool front disrupting the pattern, though current atmospheric steering renders these unlikely; intraday observations will provide final confirmation as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
9°C or higher 99.6%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$135,036 交易量
$135,036 交易量
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
100%
9°C or higher 99.6%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$135,036 交易量
$135,036 交易量
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued April 1, projects a daytime high near 21°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and southwest winds gusting to 60 km/h. This warm surge, well above the early April climatological average of 10–12°C, stems from a ridge of high pressure ushering mild air masses northward, with consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GEM reinforcing sustained temperatures in the 9°C or higher range that dominates trader sentiment at 99.6% implied probability. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or a sudden cool front disrupting the pattern, though current atmospheric steering renders these unlikely; intraday observations will provide final confirmation as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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