Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance, issued late March 29, forecasts a 19°C high for Tel Aviv on March 30 amid partly cloudy skies and light showers, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability on 19°C versus 29% for 18°C and 23.5% for 20°C. This tight clustering reflects short-range model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which indicate moderate subtropical ridging moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes limiting peak afternoon heating to 18–20°C, per hourly projections peaking around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable mid-level cloud cover and wind shear potentially capping or boosting insolation by 1–2°C; climatological late-March averages hover near 20°C. Ben Gurion Airport METAR observations through sunset will confirm the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
3月30日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
20°C 26%
17°C 8%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
26%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
20°C 26%
17°C 8%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
26%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance, issued late March 29, forecasts a 19°C high for Tel Aviv on March 30 amid partly cloudy skies and light showers, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability on 19°C versus 29% for 18°C and 23.5% for 20°C. This tight clustering reflects short-range model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which indicate moderate subtropical ridging moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes limiting peak afternoon heating to 18–20°C, per hourly projections peaking around 14:00 local time. Differentiating factors include variable mid-level cloud cover and wind shear potentially capping or boosting insolation by 1–2°C; climatological late-March averages hover near 20°C. Ben Gurion Airport METAR observations through sunset will confirm the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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