Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 converging around 22°C, with sunny conditions and low precipitation risk (4%) per Weather Channel guidance, yet trader consensus prices 25°C or higher at 41% implied probability due to outlier runs suggesting ridge amplification and reduced Mediterranean sea breeze cooling. This positioning reflects early-April climatological normals of 22–24°C highs, modulated by upper-level patterns shifting from March's persistent troughing—marked by recent light rain and highs near 19–21°C—to a stabilizing high-pressure influence. Model uncertainty persists with 4-day lead time; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model refreshes for shifts in intensification potential or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 21%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
11%
19°C
11%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
21%
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 21%
24°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
$238 交易量
1%
16°C
$222 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$0 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
11%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$0 交易量
23%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
18%
25°C or higher
$0 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 converging around 22°C, with sunny conditions and low precipitation risk (4%) per Weather Channel guidance, yet trader consensus prices 25°C or higher at 41% implied probability due to outlier runs suggesting ridge amplification and reduced Mediterranean sea breeze cooling. This positioning reflects early-April climatological normals of 22–24°C highs, modulated by upper-level patterns shifting from March's persistent troughing—marked by recent light rain and highs near 19–21°C—to a stabilizing high-pressure influence. Model uncertainty persists with 4-day lead time; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model refreshes for shifts in intensification potential or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$460結束日期
Apr 3, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 converging around 22°C, with sunny conditions and low precipitation risk (4%) per Weather Channel guidance, yet trader consensus prices 25°C or higher at 41% implied probability due to outlier runs suggesting ridge amplification and reduced Mediterranean sea breeze cooling. This positioning reflects early-April climatological normals of 22–24°C highs, modulated by upper-level patterns shifting from March's persistent troughing—marked by recent light rain and highs near 19–21°C—to a stabilizing high-pressure influence. Model uncertainty persists with 4-day lead time; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model refreshes for shifts in intensification potential or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$460結束日期
Apr 3, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 converging around 22°C, with sunny conditions and low precipitation risk (4%) per Weather Channel guidance, yet trader consensus prices 25°C or higher at 41% implied probability due to outlier runs suggesting ridge amplification and reduced Mediterranean sea breeze cooling. This positioning reflects early-April climatological normals of 22–24°C highs, modulated by upper-level patterns shifting from March's persistent troughing—marked by recent light rain and highs near 19–21°C—to a stabilizing high-pressure influence. Model uncertainty persists with 4-day lead time; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model refreshes for shifts in intensification potential or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions