Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models like GFS show Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 28 clustering around 33-35°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 28.5%, 27.5%, and 20% respectively. March norms hover at 32-34°C, but northerly winds advecting dry continental air from Rajasthan are boosting heat potential, while minimal cloud cover—under 20% probability—limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, with 32°C or below (13%) hinging on unexpected western disturbance moisture, and 36°C+ (13% combined) requiring stronger subsidence. Ensemble uncertainty keeps the market volatile ahead of IMD's evening update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C or below 21%
35°C 20%
32°C or below
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C or below 21%
35°C 20%
32°C or below
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models like GFS show Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 28 clustering around 33-35°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 28.5%, 27.5%, and 20% respectively. March norms hover at 32-34°C, but northerly winds advecting dry continental air from Rajasthan are boosting heat potential, while minimal cloud cover—under 20% probability—limits radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, with 32°C or below (13%) hinging on unexpected western disturbance moisture, and 36°C+ (13% combined) requiring stronger subsidence. Ensemble uncertainty keeps the market volatile ahead of IMD's evening update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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