Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 14°C in the early afternoon at key monitoring stations, solidifying the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified data from the previous day. Cloudy skies and light winds capped warming after overnight lows near 7–8°C, matching pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 13–15°C amid typical early spring conditions influenced by a weak high-pressure ridge. This reflects historical April norms for central London (average highs ~12–13°C), with no significant deviations. Post-event resolution leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or alternative station data (e.g., Heathrow vs. St. James's Park) could theoretically prompt review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 1?
Highest temperature in London on April 1?
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$305,546 交易量
$305,546 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$305,546 交易量
$305,546 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 14°C in the early afternoon at key monitoring stations, solidifying the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified data from the previous day. Cloudy skies and light winds capped warming after overnight lows near 7–8°C, matching pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 13–15°C amid typical early spring conditions influenced by a weak high-pressure ridge. This reflects historical April norms for central London (average highs ~12–13°C), with no significant deviations. Post-event resolution leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or alternative station data (e.g., Heathrow vs. St. James's Park) could theoretically prompt review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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