Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 62-63°F high temperature in Chicago on March 29 at 99.9% implied probability, backed by official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 63°F at 3:51 p.m. under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds around 15 mph that facilitated diurnal heating above the March climatological average of 52°F. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS model consensus projecting low-to-mid 60s peaks amid mild synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, limited to rare data corrections from station audits, though verified measurements provide near-certain resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 99.8%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$178,136 交易量
$178,136 交易量
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 99.8%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$178,136 交易量
$178,136 交易量
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 62-63°F high temperature in Chicago on March 29 at 99.9% implied probability, backed by official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 63°F at 3:51 p.m. under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds around 15 mph that facilitated diurnal heating above the March climatological average of 52°F. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and GFS model consensus projecting low-to-mid 60s peaks amid mild synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, limited to rare data corrections from station audits, though verified measurements provide near-certain resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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