Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 24°C at 49% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicating peaks of 23-25°C despite China Meteorological Administration guidance capping at 22°C under cloudy conditions and northerly winds of 16-24 km/h. Yesterday's thundershowers have transitioned to drier air, with a yellow strong wind warning active; this northerly flow moderates warmth from a mild early-spring pattern exceeding historical April 3 averages near 18-20°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Inherent model spread highlights uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and solar heating, with hourly observations throughout the day determining resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
24°C 49.3%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
25°C 9.5%
$77,588 交易量
$77,588 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 49.3%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
25°C 9.5%
$77,588 交易量
$77,588 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 24°C at 49% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicating peaks of 23-25°C despite China Meteorological Administration guidance capping at 22°C under cloudy conditions and northerly winds of 16-24 km/h. Yesterday's thundershowers have transitioned to drier air, with a yellow strong wind warning active; this northerly flow moderates warmth from a mild early-spring pattern exceeding historical April 3 averages near 18-20°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Inherent model spread highlights uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and solar heating, with hourly observations throughout the day determining resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions