Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (65% implied probability) at Beijing Capital International Airport today, closely followed by 23°C (25%), driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid persistent cloudy skies and gusty winds. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14°C under overcast conditions, consistent with springtime patterns where Beijing's April averages hover near 20°C but haze and northerly airflow cap peaks. Yesterday's high reached about 20°C, supporting this modest warming trend without significant anomalies. Ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF align on subdued maxima due to cloud cover, though afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C; resolution awaits official hourly data through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
23°C 38%
24°C 34.6%
22°C 22%
25°C 4.1%
$121,239 交易量
$121,239 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
35%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 38%
24°C 34.6%
22°C 22%
25°C 4.1%
$121,239 交易量
$121,239 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
35%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (65% implied probability) at Beijing Capital International Airport today, closely followed by 23°C (25%), driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid persistent cloudy skies and gusty winds. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14°C under overcast conditions, consistent with springtime patterns where Beijing's April averages hover near 20°C but haze and northerly airflow cap peaks. Yesterday's high reached about 20°C, supporting this modest warming trend without significant anomalies. Ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF align on subdued maxima due to cloud cover, though afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C; resolution awaits official hourly data through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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