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Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

84-85°F 100.0%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$195,064 交易量

84-85°F 100.0%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$195,064 交易量

84-85°F

$9,956 交易量

100%

86-87°F

$7,961 交易量

<1%

88-89°F

$5,201 交易量

<1%

90-91°F

$7,400 交易量

<1%

92°F or higher

$4,127 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the National Weather Service's primary station for Austin, recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F on March 29, 2026, peaking around mid-afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth. This aligns with NOAA automated surface data, corroborated by regional weather networks, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 84-85°F as traders price in verified measurements over preliminary reports. March 2026's record-warm trend, with averages 4-6°F above the 76°F climatological high, provided conducive conditions via light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies with secondary sites like Camp Mabry during NWS final CLI report review, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.

Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the National Weather Service's primary station for Austin, recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F on March 29, 2026, peaking around mid-afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth. This aligns with NOAA automated surface data, corroborated by regional weather networks, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 84-85°F as traders price in verified measurements over preliminary reports. March 2026's record-warm trend, with averages 4-6°F above the 76°F climatological high, provided conducive conditions via light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies with secondary sites like Camp Mabry during NWS final CLI report review, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the National Weather Service's primary station for Austin, recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F on March 29, 2026, peaking around mid-afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth. This aligns with NOAA automated surface data, corroborated by regional weather networks, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 84-85°F as traders price in verified measurements over preliminary reports. March 2026's record-warm trend, with averages 4-6°F above the 76°F climatological high, provided conducive conditions via light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies with secondary sites like Camp Mabry during NWS final CLI report review, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.

Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the National Weather Service's primary station for Austin, recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F on March 29, 2026, peaking around mid-afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth. This aligns with NOAA automated surface data, corroborated by regional weather networks, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for 84-85°F as traders price in verified measurements over preliminary reports. March 2026's record-warm trend, with averages 4-6°F above the 76°F climatological high, provided conducive conditions via light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies with secondary sites like Camp Mabry during NWS final CLI report review, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 100%, followed by "86-87°F" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" has generated $195.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" is "84-85°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-87°F" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.