Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哈維溫斯坦入獄時間?
哈維溫斯坦入獄時間?
無需入獄 41.0%
20至30年 35.5%
10到20年 12.8%
30年以上 5.0%
$856,308 交易量
$856,308 交易量
無需入獄
41%
少於5年
3%
5-10年
4%
10到20年
13%
20至30年
36%
30年以上
5%
無需入獄 41.0%
20至30年 35.5%
10到20年 12.8%
30年以上 5.0%
$856,308 交易量
$856,308 交易量
無需入獄
41%
少於5年
3%
5-10年
4%
10到20年
13%
20至30年
36%
30年以上
5%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions