Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a post-Proposition 50 Partisan Voter Index of D+16 following the November 2025 redistricting that bolstered Democratic-leaning maps. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026, amassing $2.4 million in cash on hand by year-end, dwarfing challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The sole major Republican entrant, former news director Steve Cohen, announced in mid-March but trails in resources amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects incumbency advantages and district math; realistic shifts would require a Peters primary upset, GOP star recruitment, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,281 交易量
$18,281 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
93%
共和黨
7%
$18,281 交易量
$18,281 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主黨
$13,332 交易量
93%
共和黨
$4,949 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a post-Proposition 50 Partisan Voter Index of D+16 following the November 2025 redistricting that bolstered Democratic-leaning maps. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026, amassing $2.4 million in cash on hand by year-end, dwarfing challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The sole major Republican entrant, former news director Steve Cohen, announced in mid-March but trails in resources amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects incumbency advantages and district math; realistic shifts would require a Peters primary upset, GOP star recruitment, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$18,281結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a post-Proposition 50 Partisan Voter Index of D+16 following the November 2025 redistricting that bolstered Democratic-leaning maps. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026, amassing $2.4 million in cash on hand by year-end, dwarfing challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The sole major Republican entrant, former news director Steve Cohen, announced in mid-March but trails in resources amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects incumbency advantages and district math; realistic shifts would require a Peters primary upset, GOP star recruitment, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,281結束日期
Nov 3, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a post-Proposition 50 Partisan Voter Index of D+16 following the November 2025 redistricting that bolstered Democratic-leaning maps. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026, amassing $2.4 million in cash on hand by year-end, dwarfing challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The sole major Republican entrant, former news director Steve Cohen, announced in mid-March but trails in resources amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats reflects incumbency advantages and district math; realistic shifts would require a Peters primary upset, GOP star recruitment, national midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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