BTS's "SWIM" commands a dominant 79% implied probability on Polymarket for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 spot the week of April 4, fueled by explosive streaming gains from ARMY fan mobilization and viral social media challenges following its recent digital release. Midweek tracking data shows it surging ahead in raw streams—key to the chart's 50% streaming weight—while radio airplay lags behind Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" at 16.5%, which benefits from strong country station support but trails in sales and points overall. Lower contenders like Olivia Dean's tracks and Taylor Swift's "The Fate of Ophelia" and "Opalite" face steep barriers from BTS's momentum. Traders eye Friday's official chart lock, where final sales and airplay could spark shifts amid competition from holdover hits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
SWIM - BTS 79%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 16%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 1.4%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$202,199 交易量
$202,199 交易量
SWIM - BTS
79%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
16%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
1%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
1%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
1%
Stateside - PinkPantheress With Zara Larsson
1%
Opalite - Taylor Swift
<1%
Ordinary - Alex Warren
<1%
Golden - HUNTR/X
<1%
So Easy (To Fall in Love) - Olivia Dean
<1%
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
<1%
American Girls - Harry Styles
<1%
SWIM - BTS 79%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 16%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean 1.4%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars <1%
$202,199 交易量
$202,199 交易量
SWIM - BTS
79%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
16%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
1%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
1%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
1%
Stateside - PinkPantheress With Zara Larsson
1%
Opalite - Taylor Swift
<1%
Ordinary - Alex Warren
<1%
Golden - HUNTR/X
<1%
So Easy (To Fall in Love) - Olivia Dean
<1%
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
<1%
American Girls - Harry Styles
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of April 4, 2026”.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...BTS's "SWIM" commands a dominant 79% implied probability on Polymarket for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 spot the week of April 4, fueled by explosive streaming gains from ARMY fan mobilization and viral social media challenges following its recent digital release. Midweek tracking data shows it surging ahead in raw streams—key to the chart's 50% streaming weight—while radio airplay lags behind Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" at 16.5%, which benefits from strong country station support but trails in sales and points overall. Lower contenders like Olivia Dean's tracks and Taylor Swift's "The Fate of Ophelia" and "Opalite" face steep barriers from BTS's momentum. Traders eye Friday's official chart lock, where final sales and airplay could spark shifts amid competition from holdover hits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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