Market icon
科技·Claude 5

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？

Market icon
科技·Claude 5

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？

$55,865 交易量

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$55,865 交易量

Polymarket

50%以上

$8,831 交易量

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Leaked internal documents from Anthropic, reported yesterday, reveal "Claude Mythos"—a next-generation model in testing with unprecedented capabilities and cybersecurity risks—sparking trader optimism for a FrontierMath breakthrough by June 30. The benchmark, crafted by Epoch AI, probes advanced mathematical reasoning across four tiers of expert-level problems, including unsolved research challenges. Claude Opus 4.6, released in February, hit a frontier-tying 40% on Tiers 1-3 and quadrupled prior Tier 4 performance to 10/48, closing the gap on OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 47.6%. With rapid iteration cycles, upcoming releases could push scores higher, though timelines remain uncertain amid competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI.

Leaked internal documents from Anthropic, reported yesterday, reveal "Claude Mythos"—a next-generation model in testing with unprecedented capabilities and cybersecurity risks—sparking trader optimism for a FrontierMath breakthrough by June 30. The benchmark, crafted by Epoch AI, probes advanced mathematical reasoning across four tiers of expert-level problems, including unsolved research challenges. Claude Opus 4.6, released in February, hit a frontier-tying 40% on Tiers 1-3 and quadrupled prior Tier 4 performance to 10/48, closing the gap on OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 47.6%. With rapid iteration cycles, upcoming releases could push scores higher, though timelines remain uncertain amid competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Leaked internal documents from Anthropic, reported yesterday, reveal "Claude Mythos"—a next-generation model in testing with unprecedented capabilities and cybersecurity risks—sparking trader optimism for a FrontierMath breakthrough by June 30. The benchmark, crafted by Epoch AI, probes advanced mathematical reasoning across four tiers of expert-level problems, including unsolved research challenges. Claude Opus 4.6, released in February, hit a frontier-tying 40% on Tiers 1-3 and quadrupled prior Tier 4 performance to 10/48, closing the gap on OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 47.6%. With rapid iteration cycles, upcoming releases could push scores higher, though timelines remain uncertain amid competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI.

Leaked internal documents from Anthropic, reported yesterday, reveal "Claude Mythos"—a next-generation model in testing with unprecedented capabilities and cybersecurity risks—sparking trader optimism for a FrontierMath breakthrough by June 30. The benchmark, crafted by Epoch AI, probes advanced mathematical reasoning across four tiers of expert-level problems, including unsolved research challenges. Claude Opus 4.6, released in February, hit a frontier-tying 40% on Tiers 1-3 and quadrupled prior Tier 4 performance to 10/48, closing the gap on OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 47.6%. With rapid iteration cycles, upcoming releases could push scores higher, though timelines remain uncertain amid competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25%以上" at 100%, followed by "30%+" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？" has generated $55.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？" is "25%以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30%+" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.