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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 42%

James Dees 42%

Rhett Marques 42%

Joshua McKee 27%

Polymarket

$33,291 交易量

Jerry Carl 42%

James Dees 42%

Rhett Marques 42%

Joshua McKee 27%

Polymarket

$33,291 交易量

Jerry Carl

$0 交易量

42%

James Dees

$0 交易量

42%

Rhett Marques

$0 交易量

42%

Joshua McKee

$0 交易量

27%

John Mills

$14,754 交易量

22%

James Richardson

$5,184 交易量

20%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 交易量

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus prices former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, State Rep. Rhett Marques, and James Dees each near 39%, reflecting a closely contested open seat after incumbent Barry Moore's retirement for a U.S. Senate bid. Recent Alabama Poll data from March 18 shows Carl leading at 28% to Marques' 19% amid a fragmented field, but his advantage has narrowed from 16 points in January, fueled by Marques' fundraising dominance ($775,000 cash-on-hand entering 2026) and endorsements from Senate Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter. The race stays tight due to no Trump endorsement or clear frontrunner momentum; separation could arise from high-profile backing, fresh polls, candidate forums, or April runoff dynamics if no majority emerges.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus prices former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, State Rep. Rhett Marques, and James Dees each near 39%, reflecting a closely contested open seat after incumbent Barry Moore's retirement for a U.S. Senate bid. Recent Alabama Poll data from March 18 shows Carl leading at 28% to Marques' 19% amid a fragmented field, but his advantage has narrowed from 16 points in January, fueled by Marques' fundraising dominance ($775,000 cash-on-hand entering 2026) and endorsements from Senate Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter. The race stays tight due to no Trump endorsement or clear frontrunner momentum; separation could arise from high-profile backing, fresh polls, candidate forums, or April runoff dynamics if no majority emerges.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus prices former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, State Rep. Rhett Marques, and James Dees each near 39%, reflecting a closely contested open seat after incumbent Barry Moore's retirement for a U.S. Senate bid. Recent Alabama Poll data from March 18 shows Carl leading at 28% to Marques' 19% amid a fragmented field, but his advantage has narrowed from 16 points in January, fueled by Marques' fundraising dominance ($775,000 cash-on-hand entering 2026) and endorsements from Senate Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter. The race stays tight due to no Trump endorsement or clear frontrunner momentum; separation could arise from high-profile backing, fresh polls, candidate forums, or April runoff dynamics if no majority emerges.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus prices former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, State Rep. Rhett Marques, and James Dees each near 39%, reflecting a closely contested open seat after incumbent Barry Moore's retirement for a U.S. Senate bid. Recent Alabama Poll data from March 18 shows Carl leading at 28% to Marques' 19% amid a fragmented field, but his advantage has narrowed from 16 points in January, fueled by Marques' fundraising dominance ($775,000 cash-on-hand entering 2026) and endorsements from Senate Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter. The race stays tight due to no Trump endorsement or clear frontrunner momentum; separation could arise from high-profile backing, fresh polls, candidate forums, or April runoff dynamics if no majority emerges.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jerry Carl" at 42%, followed by "James Dees" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $33.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "Jerry Carl" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Dees" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.