Social Democrats maintain a clear lead in the latest polling averages ahead of the September 13 vote, with Sweden Democrats consistently placing second at roughly 19% support compared to the Moderate Party's 17-18%. This positioning reflects sustained voter backing for the Sweden Democrats on integration, law-and-order, and immigration priorities that have defined the Tidö cooperation since 2022, while the Moderates face headwinds as the senior governing party amid a tightening but still trailing right-wing bloc. Recent surveys from Novus, Ipsos, and others through early September show the gap between second and third remaining stable, with minimal movement in the final weeks. Traders assign the Sweden Democrats an 80% implied probability of finishing second, consistent with these trends and the limited scope for late shifts given the short timeline to election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sweden Democrats (SD) 80%
Moderate Party (M) 21%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$111,481 交易量
$111,481 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
80%
Moderate Party (M)
21%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 80%
Moderate Party (M) 21%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$111,481 交易量
$111,481 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$19,362 交易量
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$47,195 交易量
80%
Moderate Party (M)
$29,609 交易量
21%
Centre Party (C)
$2,242 交易量
<1%
Left Party (V)
$5,350 交易量
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,352 交易量
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 交易量
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,901 交易量
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Social Democrats maintain a clear lead in the latest polling averages ahead of the September 13 vote, with Sweden Democrats consistently placing second at roughly 19% support compared to the Moderate Party's 17-18%. This positioning reflects sustained voter backing for the Sweden Democrats on integration, law-and-order, and immigration priorities that have defined the Tidö cooperation since 2022, while the Moderates face headwinds as the senior governing party amid a tightening but still trailing right-wing bloc. Recent surveys from Novus, Ipsos, and others through early September show the gap between second and third remaining stable, with minimal movement in the final weeks. Traders assign the Sweden Democrats an 80% implied probability of finishing second, consistent with these trends and the limited scope for late shifts given the short timeline to election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$111,481結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Social Democrats maintain a clear lead in the latest polling averages ahead of the September 13 vote, with Sweden Democrats consistently placing second at roughly 19% support compared to the Moderate Party's 17-18%. This positioning reflects sustained voter backing for the Sweden Democrats on integration, law-and-order, and immigration priorities that have defined the Tidö cooperation since 2022, while the Moderates face headwinds as the senior governing party amid a tightening but still trailing right-wing bloc. Recent surveys from Novus, Ipsos, and others through early September show the gap between second and third remaining stable, with minimal movement in the final weeks. Traders assign the Sweden Democrats an 80% implied probability of finishing second, consistent with these trends and the limited scope for late shifts given the short timeline to election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$111,481結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETSocial Democrats maintain a clear lead in the latest polling averages ahead of the September 13 vote, with Sweden Democrats consistently placing second at roughly 19% support compared to the Moderate Party's 17-18%. This positioning reflects sustained voter backing for the Sweden Democrats on integration, law-and-order, and immigration priorities that have defined the Tidö cooperation since 2022, while the Moderates face headwinds as the senior governing party amid a tightening but still trailing right-wing bloc. Recent surveys from Novus, Ipsos, and others through early September show the gap between second and third remaining stable, with minimal movement in the final weeks. Traders assign the Sweden Democrats an 80% implied probability of finishing second, consistent with these trends and the limited scope for late shifts given the short timeline to election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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