維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-11-27T00:08:31.965Z
End: 2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z

政治·主要

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Chuck Smith 30%

Bert Mizusawa 29%

大衛·威廉斯 24%

Al Mina 11.9%

$1,058,632 交易量

Jun 16, 2026

Chuck Smith

$2,804 交易量

30%

Bert Mizusawa

$2,706 交易量

29%

大衛·威廉斯

$11,769 交易量

24%

Al Mina

$820,876 交易量

12%

Kim Farington

$188,855 交易量

Bryce Reeves

$10,412 交易量

Alex De Paula

$2,215 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$12,184 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$6,812 交易量

Chuck Smith 30%

Bert Mizusawa 29%

大衛·威廉斯 24%

Al Mina 11.9%

$1,058,632 交易量

Jun 16, 2026

Chuck Smith

$2,804 交易量

30%

Bert Mizusawa

$2,706 交易量

29%

大衛·威廉斯

$11,769 交易量

24%

Al Mina

$820,876 交易量

12%

Kim Farington

$188,855 交易量

Bryce Reeves

$10,412 交易量

Alex De Paula

$2,215 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$12,184 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$6,812 交易量

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus in the Virginia Republican Senate primary market shows a neck-and-neck race among Chuck Smith (29.5%), Bert Mizusawa (29.0%), and David Williams (24.5%), driven by fragmented endorsements and evenly split regional support in a competitive district. Recent developments, including Smith's legislative incumbency edge, Mizusawa's military credentials appealing to veterans, and Williams' grassroots fundraising surge, have kept probabilities bunched, reflecting poll averages within 5 points. No candidate has broken away amid low turnout expectations for the June primary. Separation could emerge from a late Gov. Youngkin nod, final financial disclosures, or district-specific debates, prompting traders to reassess skin-in-the-game odds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 23, 2026, 4:26 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Smith" at 30%, followed by "Bert Mizusawa" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Chuck Smith" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 30¢ for "Chuck Smith" in the "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 30% chance that "Chuck Smith" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 30¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 70¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market has a growing discussion of 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (4)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

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