Redistricting shifted California's 48th congressional district toward a modest Democratic lean, creating a pickup opportunity in this San Diego-area seat that previously favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the open race as lean or tilt Democratic for the general election, reflecting the district's updated voter registration and historical voting patterns. Republican Jim Desmond leads early polling for the June top-two primary after incumbent Darrell Issa retired and endorsed him, with President Trump also backing the San Diego County supervisor. Democrats remain divided among several candidates, yet the general-election matchup still tilts toward the Democratic nominee due to the district's structural advantages. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these assessments, pricing in limited upside for Republicans absent a major shift before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,761 Обс.
85%
Republican Party
$4,259 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted California's 48th congressional district toward a modest Democratic lean, creating a pickup opportunity in this San Diego-area seat that previously favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the open race as lean or tilt Democratic for the general election, reflecting the district's updated voter registration and historical voting patterns. Republican Jim Desmond leads early polling for the June top-two primary after incumbent Darrell Issa retired and endorsed him, with President Trump also backing the San Diego County supervisor. Democrats remain divided among several candidates, yet the general-election matchup still tilts toward the Democratic nominee due to the district's structural advantages. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these assessments, pricing in limited upside for Republicans absent a major shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,959Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted California's 48th congressional district toward a modest Democratic lean, creating a pickup opportunity in this San Diego-area seat that previously favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the open race as lean or tilt Democratic for the general election, reflecting the district's updated voter registration and historical voting patterns. Republican Jim Desmond leads early polling for the June top-two primary after incumbent Darrell Issa retired and endorsed him, with President Trump also backing the San Diego County supervisor. Democrats remain divided among several candidates, yet the general-election matchup still tilts toward the Democratic nominee due to the district's structural advantages. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these assessments, pricing in limited upside for Republicans absent a major shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,959Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted California's 48th congressional district toward a modest Democratic lean, creating a pickup opportunity in this San Diego-area seat that previously favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the open race as lean or tilt Democratic for the general election, reflecting the district's updated voter registration and historical voting patterns. Republican Jim Desmond leads early polling for the June top-two primary after incumbent Darrell Issa retired and endorsed him, with President Trump also backing the San Diego County supervisor. Democrats remain divided among several candidates, yet the general-election matchup still tilts toward the Democratic nominee due to the district's structural advantages. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these assessments, pricing in limited upside for Republicans absent a major shift before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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