California's 35th Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent election results, which underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican challenger Mike Cargile, with both proceeding to the November general election under California's top-two system. The district's voter registration patterns, geographic concentration in San Bernardino and Los Angeles counties, and historical margins in federal contests sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. A national political shift, significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though structural factors have kept such adjustments limited in comparable cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-35 House Election Winner
CA-35 House Election Winner
$34,483 Обс.
$34,483 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$34,483 Обс.
$34,483 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,895 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$14,588 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent election results, which underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican challenger Mike Cargile, with both proceeding to the November general election under California's top-two system. The district's voter registration patterns, geographic concentration in San Bernardino and Los Angeles counties, and historical margins in federal contests sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. A national political shift, significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though structural factors have kept such adjustments limited in comparable cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,483Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent election results, which underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican challenger Mike Cargile, with both proceeding to the November general election under California's top-two system. The district's voter registration patterns, geographic concentration in San Bernardino and Los Angeles counties, and historical margins in federal contests sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. A national political shift, significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though structural factors have kept such adjustments limited in comparable cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,483Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 35th Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent election results, which underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican challenger Mike Cargile, with both proceeding to the November general election under California's top-two system. The district's voter registration patterns, geographic concentration in San Bernardino and Los Angeles counties, and historical margins in federal contests sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. A national political shift, significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could narrow the outcome, though structural factors have kept such adjustments limited in comparable cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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