Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres holds a commanding position in California's 35th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 95.5%. Torres dominated past cycles, defeating Republican Mike Cargile 58%-42% in 2024, bolstered by a massive fundraising edge—over $550,000 raised versus Cargile's $4,000 as of late March—and a district presidential lean of D+8 from Harris's 2024 win. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) remain unchanged, reflecting low competitiveness in this Inland Empire seat. Odds could shift with a primary upset, Torres scandal, or unexpected GOP surge, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-35 House Election Winner
CA-35 House Election Winner
$32,988 Обс.
$32,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$32,988 Обс.
$32,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,883 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$13,106 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres holds a commanding position in California's 35th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 95.5%. Torres dominated past cycles, defeating Republican Mike Cargile 58%-42% in 2024, bolstered by a massive fundraising edge—over $550,000 raised versus Cargile's $4,000 as of late March—and a district presidential lean of D+8 from Harris's 2024 win. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) remain unchanged, reflecting low competitiveness in this Inland Empire seat. Odds could shift with a primary upset, Torres scandal, or unexpected GOP surge, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres holds a commanding position in California's 35th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 95.5%. Torres dominated past cycles, defeating Republican Mike Cargile 58%-42% in 2024, bolstered by a massive fundraising edge—over $550,000 raised versus Cargile's $4,000 as of late March—and a district presidential lean of D+8 from Harris's 2024 win. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) remain unchanged, reflecting low competitiveness in this Inland Empire seat. Odds could shift with a primary upset, Torres scandal, or unexpected GOP surge, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres holds a commanding position in California's 35th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 95.5%. Torres dominated past cycles, defeating Republican Mike Cargile 58%-42% in 2024, bolstered by a massive fundraising edge—over $550,000 raised versus Cargile's $4,000 as of late March—and a district presidential lean of D+8 from Harris's 2024 win. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) remain unchanged, reflecting low competitiveness in this Inland Empire seat. Odds could shift with a primary upset, Torres scandal, or unexpected GOP surge, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання