Recent polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition holding 49 Knesset seats against an opposition bloc's stable 61-seat majority, fueling trader consensus at 44% implied probability for him exiting office by December 31 as the leading outcome in this market. The coalition's late March passage of the 2026 state budget averted a snap election, stabilizing the government short-term ahead of the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote under Israel's proportional representation system. Criticism intensified after this week's Lebanon ceasefire announcement, which failed to boost support amid ongoing Gaza and Iran tensions, with Netanyahu defensive over declining Likud polling. No-confidence motions remain unlikely without coalition defections, though legal proceedings and international pressures add uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเนทันยาฮูออกโดย...?
เนทันยาฮูออกโดย...?
$117,499,151 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
30 เมษายน
1%
30 มิถุนายน
6%
31 ธันวาคม
44%
$117,499,151 ปริมาณ
30 เมษายน
$8,055,719 ปริมาณ
1%
30 มิถุนายน
$4,080,149 ปริมาณ
6%
31 ธันวาคม
$1,157,407 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition holding 49 Knesset seats against an opposition bloc's stable 61-seat majority, fueling trader consensus at 44% implied probability for him exiting office by December 31 as the leading outcome in this market. The coalition's late March passage of the 2026 state budget averted a snap election, stabilizing the government short-term ahead of the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote under Israel's proportional representation system. Criticism intensified after this week's Lebanon ceasefire announcement, which failed to boost support amid ongoing Gaza and Iran tensions, with Netanyahu defensive over declining Likud polling. No-confidence motions remain unlikely without coalition defections, though legal proceedings and international pressures add uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,499,151วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition holding 49 Knesset seats against an opposition bloc's stable 61-seat majority, fueling trader consensus at 44% implied probability for him exiting office by December 31 as the leading outcome in this market. The coalition's late March passage of the 2026 state budget averted a snap election, stabilizing the government short-term ahead of the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote under Israel's proportional representation system. Criticism intensified after this week's Lebanon ceasefire announcement, which failed to boost support amid ongoing Gaza and Iran tensions, with Netanyahu defensive over declining Likud polling. No-confidence motions remain unlikely without coalition defections, though legal proceedings and international pressures add uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,499,151วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition holding 49 Knesset seats against an opposition bloc's stable 61-seat majority, fueling trader consensus at 44% implied probability for him exiting office by December 31 as the leading outcome in this market. The coalition's late March passage of the 2026 state budget averted a snap election, stabilizing the government short-term ahead of the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote under Israel's proportional representation system. Criticism intensified after this week's Lebanon ceasefire announcement, which failed to boost support amid ongoing Gaza and Iran tensions, with Netanyahu defensive over declining Likud polling. No-confidence motions remain unlikely without coalition defections, though legal proceedings and international pressures add uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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