US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$623,846 ปริมาณ
$623,846 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$623,846 ปริมาณ
$623,846 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$623,846วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$623,846วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, extending the estimated breakout timeline to nine to twelve months according to current US intelligence assessments. These operations, combined with suspended IAEA inspections at affected locations and ongoing diplomatic efforts, have constrained Iran's ability to rapidly advance toward weapons-grade material or weaponization. With roughly seven months remaining until 2027, traders view a completed nuclear device as improbable absent major undetected acceleration or external assistance, reflecting the cumulative effect of prior degradation on Iran's program.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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