The recent escalation of the Iran conflict has driven sharp energy price increases, pushing eurozone headline inflation to 3% in April and above the ECB's 2% target. This development has prompted the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling openness to tightening, with officials including Bundesbank President Nagel and others highlighting a potential June hike as a response to second-round inflation risks. Economist surveys now project at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with trader consensus that assigns a 92.5% implied probability to an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026 amid ongoing geopolitical pressures and data-dependent policy decisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$114,808 ปริมาณ
$114,808 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$114,808 ปริมาณ
$114,808 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent escalation of the Iran conflict has driven sharp energy price increases, pushing eurozone headline inflation to 3% in April and above the ECB's 2% target. This development has prompted the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling openness to tightening, with officials including Bundesbank President Nagel and others highlighting a potential June hike as a response to second-round inflation risks. Economist surveys now project at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with trader consensus that assigns a 92.5% implied probability to an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026 amid ongoing geopolitical pressures and data-dependent policy decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,808วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent escalation of the Iran conflict has driven sharp energy price increases, pushing eurozone headline inflation to 3% in April and above the ECB's 2% target. This development has prompted the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling openness to tightening, with officials including Bundesbank President Nagel and others highlighting a potential June hike as a response to second-round inflation risks. Economist surveys now project at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with trader consensus that assigns a 92.5% implied probability to an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026 amid ongoing geopolitical pressures and data-dependent policy decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,808วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent escalation of the Iran conflict has driven sharp energy price increases, pushing eurozone headline inflation to 3% in April and above the ECB's 2% target. This development has prompted the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling openness to tightening, with officials including Bundesbank President Nagel and others highlighting a potential June hike as a response to second-round inflation risks. Economist surveys now project at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with trader consensus that assigns a 92.5% implied probability to an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026 amid ongoing geopolitical pressures and data-dependent policy decisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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