Governor Ueda’s hawkish signals in early June, emphasizing that upside risks to prices from elevated energy costs now warrant discussion of further normalization even amid Middle East uncertainty, have anchored trader consensus at a 97.1% implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to the 1.00% policy rate at the June 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target, resilient first-quarter growth, and the bank’s upwardly revised FY2026 forecasts reinforce expectations for this measured step in the tightening cycle. A sharp escalation in regional tensions that triggers significant market volatility or a sudden deterioration in growth prospects remains the primary scenario that could still prompt a hold instead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Japan Decision in June?
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase 97.1%
No change 2.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
Decrease rates <1%
$365,617 ปริมาณ
$365,617 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
<1%
No change
2%
25 bps increase
97%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase 97.1%
No change 2.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
Decrease rates <1%
$365,617 ปริมาณ
$365,617 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
$59,751 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$90,876 ปริมาณ
2%
25 bps increase
$91,872 ปริมาณ
97%
50+ bps increase
$123,218 ปริมาณ
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Governor Ueda’s hawkish signals in early June, emphasizing that upside risks to prices from elevated energy costs now warrant discussion of further normalization even amid Middle East uncertainty, have anchored trader consensus at a 97.1% implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to the 1.00% policy rate at the June 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target, resilient first-quarter growth, and the bank’s upwardly revised FY2026 forecasts reinforce expectations for this measured step in the tightening cycle. A sharp escalation in regional tensions that triggers significant market volatility or a sudden deterioration in growth prospects remains the primary scenario that could still prompt a hold instead.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$365,617วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Governor Ueda’s hawkish signals in early June, emphasizing that upside risks to prices from elevated energy costs now warrant discussion of further normalization even amid Middle East uncertainty, have anchored trader consensus at a 97.1% implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to the 1.00% policy rate at the June 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target, resilient first-quarter growth, and the bank’s upwardly revised FY2026 forecasts reinforce expectations for this measured step in the tightening cycle. A sharp escalation in regional tensions that triggers significant market volatility or a sudden deterioration in growth prospects remains the primary scenario that could still prompt a hold instead.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$365,617วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Governor Ueda’s hawkish signals in early June, emphasizing that upside risks to prices from elevated energy costs now warrant discussion of further normalization even amid Middle East uncertainty, have anchored trader consensus at a 97.1% implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to the 1.00% policy rate at the June 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target, resilient first-quarter growth, and the bank’s upwardly revised FY2026 forecasts reinforce expectations for this measured step in the tightening cycle. A sharp escalation in regional tensions that triggers significant market volatility or a sudden deterioration in growth prospects remains the primary scenario that could still prompt a hold instead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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