Recent U.S. economic data and forecasts underpin trader positioning in the 2026 GDP growth market. The 2.0 percent annualized advance for Q1 2026, alongside consensus projections clustering near 2.2 percent for the full year, reflects support from AI-driven business investment and fiscal stimulus enacted in 2025, tempered by tariff effects, reduced immigration, and energy-price volatility. These dynamics sustain the 39 percent implied probability for growth above 2.5 percent while elevating the combined odds for the 1.5–2.5 percent range. Key near-term catalysts include additional GDP revisions, FOMC communications on monetary policy, and labor-market releases that could shift expectations around productivity gains and consumer resilience.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
>2.5% 41%
1.5–2.0% 18.2%
2.0–2.5% 16%
1.0–1.5% 10.5%
$29,103 ปริมาณ
$29,103 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
5%
0.5–1.0%
5%
1.0–1.5%
11%
1.5–2.0%
18%
2.0–2.5%
16%
>2.5%
41%
>2.5% 41%
1.5–2.0% 18.2%
2.0–2.5% 16%
1.0–1.5% 10.5%
$29,103 ปริมาณ
$29,103 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
$3,942 ปริมาณ
5%
0.5–1.0%
$15,364 ปริมาณ
5%
1.0–1.5%
$1,867 ปริมาณ
11%
1.5–2.0%
$1,821 ปริมาณ
18%
2.0–2.5%
$1,963 ปริมาณ
16%
>2.5%
$4,146 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and forecasts underpin trader positioning in the 2026 GDP growth market. The 2.0 percent annualized advance for Q1 2026, alongside consensus projections clustering near 2.2 percent for the full year, reflects support from AI-driven business investment and fiscal stimulus enacted in 2025, tempered by tariff effects, reduced immigration, and energy-price volatility. These dynamics sustain the 39 percent implied probability for growth above 2.5 percent while elevating the combined odds for the 1.5–2.5 percent range. Key near-term catalysts include additional GDP revisions, FOMC communications on monetary policy, and labor-market releases that could shift expectations around productivity gains and consumer resilience.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and forecasts underpin trader positioning in the 2026 GDP growth market. The 2.0 percent annualized advance for Q1 2026, alongside consensus projections clustering near 2.2 percent for the full year, reflects support from AI-driven business investment and fiscal stimulus enacted in 2025, tempered by tariff effects, reduced immigration, and energy-price volatility. These dynamics sustain the 39 percent implied probability for growth above 2.5 percent while elevating the combined odds for the 1.5–2.5 percent range. Key near-term catalysts include additional GDP revisions, FOMC communications on monetary policy, and labor-market releases that could shift expectations around productivity gains and consumer resilience.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. economic data and forecasts underpin trader positioning in the 2026 GDP growth market. The 2.0 percent annualized advance for Q1 2026, alongside consensus projections clustering near 2.2 percent for the full year, reflects support from AI-driven business investment and fiscal stimulus enacted in 2025, tempered by tariff effects, reduced immigration, and energy-price volatility. These dynamics sustain the 39 percent implied probability for growth above 2.5 percent while elevating the combined odds for the 1.5–2.5 percent range. Key near-term catalysts include additional GDP revisions, FOMC communications on monetary policy, and labor-market releases that could shift expectations around productivity gains and consumer resilience.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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