U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's presidential endorsement from Donald Trump in late January, followed by challengers like Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann dropping out, has consolidated the Republican primary field for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11 vote, driving trader consensus to an 87.5% implied probability on his nomination. Recent Marquette University Law School polling from mid-March shows Tiffany leading with 40% support among Republicans—far ahead of Andy Manske at 6%—despite 54% undecided voters, reflecting his broad backing from grassroots conservatives and major donors like the Uihleins and Diane Hendricks. Speculation persists around a potential late entry by former Gov. Tommy Thompson at 6.9%, but no announcement has materialized, underscoring Tiffany's frontrunner status in this low-competition primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТом Тиффани 88%
Томми Томпсон 6.0%
Энди Мэнске 1.3%
Ребекка Клифиш 1.2%
$40,631 Объем
$40,631 Объем
Том Тиффани
88%
Томми Томпсон
6%
Энди Мэнске
1%
Ребекка Клифиш
1%
Тим Майклс
1%
Джош Шоэман
1%
Эрик Ховде
1%
Шон Даффи
1%
Том Тиффани 88%
Томми Томпсон 6.0%
Энди Мэнске 1.3%
Ребекка Клифиш 1.2%
$40,631 Объем
$40,631 Объем
Том Тиффани
88%
Томми Томпсон
6%
Энди Мэнске
1%
Ребекка Клифиш
1%
Тим Майклс
1%
Джош Шоэман
1%
Эрик Ховде
1%
Шон Даффи
1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's presidential endorsement from Donald Trump in late January, followed by challengers like Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann dropping out, has consolidated the Republican primary field for Wisconsin governor ahead of the August 11 vote, driving trader consensus to an 87.5% implied probability on his nomination. Recent Marquette University Law School polling from mid-March shows Tiffany leading with 40% support among Republicans—far ahead of Andy Manske at 6%—despite 54% undecided voters, reflecting his broad backing from grassroots conservatives and major donors like the Uihleins and Diane Hendricks. Speculation persists around a potential late entry by former Gov. Tommy Thompson at 6.9%, but no announcement has materialized, underscoring Tiffany's frontrunner status in this low-competition primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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