Name: Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)
Start: 2025-07-04T14:18:42.113635Z
End: 2025-07-11T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

July 5

July 10

July 6

July 7

July 8

July 9

July 11

Ежедневные указания Трампа

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 29, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?

This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 22, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 22, 2025 will count for this market.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 2, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 28, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 27, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 1, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 25, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 24, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).


Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 31, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of February 3, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 15?

This market will resolve to the number of executive orders issued by Donald Trump on January 21, 2025.

This market will resolve exclusively on the number of executive orders issued; executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 21, 2025 will count for this market.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 2?

This is a market on the number of Executive Orders that Trump will issue on his first day in office.

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 24?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 1?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 6?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 26, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 13, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 13?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 30, 2025 will count for this market.


Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

 Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 23, 2025 will count for this market.

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on February 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET of [day+7] until it is either confirmed or denied by the federal registrar, the White House or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 5?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 25?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 2?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 7?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 10?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 18, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 18?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 20?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 22, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 27?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 3, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 3?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 11?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 15, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 15?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 26, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 4?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 8, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 17, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 21, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 23, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 24-28)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. 

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (April 12-18)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 10-16)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (May 24-30)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 7-13)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.


Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 28 - July 4)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 12 - July 18)

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.



Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 14-20)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (June 21-27)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 19 - July 25)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 26 - August 1)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 23-29)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (September 6-12)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 9 - August 15)

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (August 16-22)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Трамп объявляет чрезвычайное положение в стране до 30 июня 2026 года?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Уйдёт ли Трамп в отставку до 31 декабря 2026 года?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Объявит ли Дональд Трамп нового кандидата на пост председателя Федеральной резервной системы к 30 июня 2026 года?

On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.

Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.

Any qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Трамп приостанавливает въезд в США для большего числа стран до 31 декабря 2026 года?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Посетит ли Трамп Китай к 30 апреля?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Jerome Powell by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Встретится ли Трамп с Джеромом Пауэллом до 31 января 2026 года?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Вынесет ли Верховный суд решение по тарифам Трампа до 20 февраля?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action which creates or orders the creation of a federal cap on credit card interest rates in the United States by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A “cap on credit card interest rates” is defined as a legally binding maximum interest rate (e.g., an APR ceiling, stated as a percentage) that makes it unlawful for credit card issuers to charge above a specified rate of interest on consumer credit cards. Non-binding guidance, agency recommendations, actions that only cap fees, or other actions that do not cap interest rates/APR will not qualify.

A qualifying action must apply broadly to consumer credit card interest rates in the United States. State-level caps or actions that only apply to a narrow subset of borrowers or lenders will not qualify. Limited exceptions, however, will not disqualify an action from counting (e.g. a cap which is broadly applicable to consumer credit card interest rates in the U.S., but exempts a limited and specific set of credit card products/categories would still count).

Any legislation or executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) which creates or directly orders the implementation of a qualifying cap will count. Announcements, proposals, requests for study, or other actions that do not themselves create or order the creation of such a cap will not count. A qualifying action within the market’s time frame will count regardless of when the cap goes into effect or any legal or other challenges it may face after enactment.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ограничит ли Трамп процентные ставки по кредитным картам к 31 марта 2026 года?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Поддержит ли Трамп Стива Хилтона на выборах губернатора Калифорнии 2 ноября 2026 года по восточному времени?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any release will qualify, including re-releases, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting.

Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.

The following will not qualify:
-Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Опубликует ли администрация Трампа еще какие-либо материалы, связанные с Эпштейном, до 28 февраля?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.

Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Удар США по Мексике до 31 декабря?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Попытается ли Трамп уволить Пауэлла до 31 января?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Трамп отменяет налог на прирост капитала на криптовалюту до 2027 года?

On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced his commitment to eliminate mail-in voting and voting machines in U.S. elections, ahead of the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that inhibits mail-in voting or voting machines from use for the 2026 midterm election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any executive action or legislation that restricts, limits, or prohibits the use of mail-in voting or voting machines in any way will qualify, even if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

July 5
$470 Объем
No

July 6
$2,247 Объем
No

July 7
$7,639 Объем
Yes

July 8
$3,758 Объем
No

July 9
$5,530 Объем
No

July 10
$2,230 Объем
No

July 11
$12,426 Объем
No

Контекст Рынка

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

Правила

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

Контекст Рынка

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

О событии

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

July 5$470 ОбъемNo

July 6$2,247 ОбъемNo

July 7$7,639 ОбъемYes

July 8$3,758 ОбъемNo

July 9$5,530 ОбъемNo

July 10$2,230 ОбъемNo

July 11$12,426 ОбъемNo

Контекст Рынка

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

Правила

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

Контекст Рынка

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (July 5 - July 11)

О событии

July 5
$470 Объем
No

July 6
$2,247 Объем
No

July 7
$7,639 Объем
Yes

July 8
$3,758 Объем
No

July 9
$5,530 Объем
No

July 10
$2,230 Объем
No

July 11
$12,426 Объем
No