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Мир·Израиль

Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?

Market icon
Мир·Израиль

Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?

$492,966 Объем

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$492,966 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта 2026 года

$321,207 Объем

2%

30 июня

$8,067 Объем

16%

31 декабря

$12,806 Объем

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating multi-front tensions, including direct US-Israel strikes on Iran since early March and expanded ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, Israel has maintained limited airstrikes and targeted IDF raids in Gaza rather than launching a major ground offensive there. No large-scale incursion has materialized despite January reports of plans for a Gaza City operation contingent on US approval under the Trump administration, as resources shifted to counter Iranian missile barrages and northern threats. Recent ceasefire talks involving Qatar and ongoing humanitarian concerns in Gaza add uncertainty, with trader consensus reflecting low immediate prospects ahead of potential de-escalation in Iran or Lebanon by late March. Key watchpoints include diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed Hamas rocket fire that could prompt escalation.

Amid escalating multi-front tensions, including direct US-Israel strikes on Iran since early March and expanded ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, Israel has maintained limited airstrikes and targeted IDF raids in Gaza rather than launching a major ground offensive there. No large-scale incursion has materialized despite January reports of plans for a Gaza City operation contingent on US approval under the Trump administration, as resources shifted to counter Iranian missile barrages and northern threats. Recent ceasefire talks involving Qatar and ongoing humanitarian concerns in Gaza add uncertainty, with trader consensus reflecting low immediate prospects ahead of potential de-escalation in Iran or Lebanon by late March. Key watchpoints include diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed Hamas rocket fire that could prompt escalation.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating multi-front tensions, including direct US-Israel strikes on Iran since early March and expanded ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, Israel has maintained limited airstrikes and targeted IDF raids in Gaza rather than launching a major ground offensive there. No large-scale incursion has materialized despite January reports of plans for a Gaza City operation contingent on US approval under the Trump administration, as resources shifted to counter Iranian missile barrages and northern threats. Recent ceasefire talks involving Qatar and ongoing humanitarian concerns in Gaza add uncertainty, with trader consensus reflecting low immediate prospects ahead of potential de-escalation in Iran or Lebanon by late March. Key watchpoints include diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed Hamas rocket fire that could prompt escalation.

Amid escalating multi-front tensions, including direct US-Israel strikes on Iran since early March and expanded ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, Israel has maintained limited airstrikes and targeted IDF raids in Gaza rather than launching a major ground offensive there. No large-scale incursion has materialized despite January reports of plans for a Gaza City operation contingent on US approval under the Trump administration, as resources shifted to counter Iranian missile barrages and northern threats. Recent ceasefire talks involving Qatar and ongoing humanitarian concerns in Gaza add uncertainty, with trader consensus reflecting low immediate prospects ahead of potential de-escalation in Iran or Lebanon by late March. Key watchpoints include diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed Hamas rocket fire that could prompt escalation.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 38%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $493K с момента запуска рынка Oct 19, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» — «31 декабря» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.