Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?
Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?
$2,876,386 Объем
Aug 1, 2025
China
No
India
No
European Union
Yes
Japan
Yes
Canada
No
Mexico
Yes
South Korea
Yes
Vietnam
Yes
Australia
No
Germany
No
France
No
Brazil
No
Argentina
No
Israel
No
$2,876,386 Объем
China
$398,944 Объем
No
India
$253,684 Объем
No
European Union
$264,154 Объем
Yes
Japan
$102,536 Объем
Yes
Canada
$117,318 Объем
No
Mexico
$1,094,830 Объем
Yes
South Korea
$244,442 Объем
Yes
Vietnam
$30,540 Объем
Yes
Australia
$43,183 Объем
No
Germany
$72,923 Объем
No
France
$55,238 Объем
No
Brazil
$81,033 Объем
No
Argentina
$84,214 Объем
No
Israel
$33,348 Объем
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2025, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$2,876,386Дата окончания
Aug 1, 2025Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2025, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Объем
$2,876,386Дата окончания
Aug 1, 2025Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2025, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
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