Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$10,850,157 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
ОАЭ
4%
Саудовская Аравия
4%
Катар
3%
Бахрейн
2%
Кувейт
1%
Иордания
1%
Великобритания
1%
Турция
1%
Франция
1%
Любая страна ЕС
1%
Оман
1%
Германия
<1%
Канада
<1%
$10,850,157 Объем
ОАЭ
$2,855,806 Объем
4%
Саудовская Аравия
$2,213,255 Объем
4%
Катар
$950,221 Объем
3%
Бахрейн
$392,924 Объем
2%
Кувейт
$211,677 Объем
1%
Иордания
$189,690 Объем
1%
Великобритания
$948,392 Объем
1%
Турция
$481,803 Объем
1%
Франция
$750,286 Объем
1%
Любая страна ЕС
$473,070 Объем
1%
Оман
$132,078 Объем
1%
Германия
$912,757 Объем
<1%
Канада
$339,709 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Объем
$10,850,157Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,850,157Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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