Israel's airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water plant, on March 28 represent the most recent major escalation in the US-Israeli campaign against Iran that began with joint operations on February 28 targeting ballistic missile sites and infrastructure. Iran has responded with missile and drone barrages on US bases in Iraq and interests in Gulf states like Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE, prompting defensive intercepts by those GCC nations alongside UK, France, and Germany from RAF Fairford and regional assets. With the March 31 deadline hours away, traders assess confirmed offensive actions by Israel and the United States against largely defensive roles by allies, amid Pentagon signals of potential ground operations and diplomatic pressures for de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$10,841,750 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
ОАЭ
4%
Саудовская Аравия
4%
Катар
2%
Бахрейн
2%
Кувейт
1%
Иордания
1%
Великобритания
1%
Турция
1%
Любая страна ЕС
1%
Франция
1%
Оман
1%
Германия
<1%
Канада
<1%
$10,841,750 Объем
ОАЭ
$2,854,616 Объем
4%
Саудовская Аравия
$2,208,468 Объем
4%
Катар
$946,297 Объем
2%
Бахрейн
$392,924 Объем
2%
Кувейт
$211,675 Объем
1%
Иордания
$189,690 Объем
1%
Великобритания
$948,392 Объем
1%
Турция
$481,803 Объем
1%
Любая страна ЕС
$473,070 Объем
1%
Франция
$750,286 Объем
1%
Оман
$132,076 Объем
1%
Германия
$912,746 Объем
<1%
Канада
$339,709 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water plant, on March 28 represent the most recent major escalation in the US-Israeli campaign against Iran that began with joint operations on February 28 targeting ballistic missile sites and infrastructure. Iran has responded with missile and drone barrages on US bases in Iraq and interests in Gulf states like Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE, prompting defensive intercepts by those GCC nations alongside UK, France, and Germany from RAF Fairford and regional assets. With the March 31 deadline hours away, traders assess confirmed offensive actions by Israel and the United States against largely defensive roles by allies, amid Pentagon signals of potential ground operations and diplomatic pressures for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Объем
$10,841,750Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water plant, on March 28 represent the most recent major escalation in the US-Israeli campaign against Iran that began with joint operations on February 28 targeting ballistic missile sites and infrastructure. Iran has responded with missile and drone barrages on US bases in Iraq and interests in Gulf states like Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE, prompting defensive intercepts by those GCC nations alongside UK, France, and Germany from RAF Fairford and regional assets. With the March 31 deadline hours away, traders assess confirmed offensive actions by Israel and the United States against largely defensive roles by allies, amid Pentagon signals of potential ground operations and diplomatic pressures for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,841,750Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water plant, on March 28 represent the most recent major escalation in the US-Israeli campaign against Iran that began with joint operations on February 28 targeting ballistic missile sites and infrastructure. Iran has responded with missile and drone barrages on US bases in Iraq and interests in Gulf states like Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE, prompting defensive intercepts by those GCC nations alongside UK, France, and Germany from RAF Fairford and regional assets. With the March 31 deadline hours away, traders assess confirmed offensive actions by Israel and the United States against largely defensive roles by allies, amid Pentagon signals of potential ground operations and diplomatic pressures for de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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