US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, with Israel striking major industrial and nuclear targets in Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on Israeli positions, US bases in Syria and Iraq, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar, prompting condemnations but no confirmed direct counterstrikes from those allies. US Central Command continues air operations from regional bases, while diplomatic efforts urge de-escalation. By the March 31 deadline, traders monitor for additional participants amid ongoing exchanges and potential ground escalations in Lebanon or Syria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$10,401,724 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Саудовская Аравия
7%
ОАЭ
6%
Катар
3%
Бахрейн
2%
Великобритания
1%
Любая страна ЕС
1%
Кувейт
1%
Турция
1%
Иордания
1%
Франция
1%
Оман
1%
Германия
<1%
Канада
<1%
$10,401,724 Объем
Саудовская Аравия
$2,130,703 Объем
7%
ОАЭ
$2,581,319 Объем
6%
Катар
$937,679 Объем
3%
Бахрейн
$387,936 Объем
2%
Великобритания
$938,064 Объем
1%
Любая страна ЕС
$459,183 Объем
1%
Кувейт
$209,267 Объем
1%
Турция
$474,133 Объем
1%
Иордания
$186,817 Объем
1%
Франция
$723,944 Объем
1%
Оман
$129,544 Объем
1%
Германия
$908,400 Объем
<1%
Канада
$334,732 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, with Israel striking major industrial and nuclear targets in Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on Israeli positions, US bases in Syria and Iraq, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar, prompting condemnations but no confirmed direct counterstrikes from those allies. US Central Command continues air operations from regional bases, while diplomatic efforts urge de-escalation. By the March 31 deadline, traders monitor for additional participants amid ongoing exchanges and potential ground escalations in Lebanon or Syria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Объем
$10,401,724Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, with Israel striking major industrial and nuclear targets in Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on Israeli positions, US bases in Syria and Iraq, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar, prompting condemnations but no confirmed direct counterstrikes from those allies. US Central Command continues air operations from regional bases, while diplomatic efforts urge de-escalation. By the March 31 deadline, traders monitor for additional participants amid ongoing exchanges and potential ground escalations in Lebanon or Syria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,401,724Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, with Israel striking major industrial and nuclear targets in Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on Israeli positions, US bases in Syria and Iraq, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar, prompting condemnations but no confirmed direct counterstrikes from those allies. US Central Command continues air operations from regional bases, while diplomatic efforts urge de-escalation. By the March 31 deadline, traders monitor for additional participants amid ongoing exchanges and potential ground escalations in Lebanon or Syria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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