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В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

Market icon

В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$9,187 Объем

Polymarket

Anduril

$0 Объем

22%

Boeing

$0 Объем

38%

TSMC

$387 Объем

19%

OpenAI

$0 Объем

26%

Palantir

$0 Объем

36%

Nvidia

$7,936 Объем

16%

GlobalFoundries

$586 Объем

14%

Lockheed Martin

$0 Объем

38%

TikTok US / Bytedance

$278 Объем

24%

Freeport-McMoRan

$0 Объем

27%

IonQ

$0 Объем

31%

Micron

$0 Объем

26%

D-Wave

$0 Объем

31%

Anthropic

$0 Объем

16%

Rigetti

$0 Объем

14%

Eli Lilly

$0 Объем

27%

Pfizer

$0 Объем

31%

Samsung Electronics

$0 Объем

23%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment centers on the ongoing CFIUS national security review of Nippon Steel's $14.9 billion bid to acquire US Steel, with the latest extension pushing a presidential decision past December 20 amid opposition from unions, bipartisan lawmakers, and President-elect Trump, who vows to block it. US Steel proposed granting the US government a "golden share" for veto rights on key decisions, fueling speculation of an equity stake to preserve domestic production. No other confirmed equity stakes are imminent, though CHIPS Act grants to Intel and TSMC have sparked related industrial policy talk. Upcoming: Biden's lame-duck ruling before inauguration, potentially setting precedent for government intervention in strategic mergers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,187
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment centers on the ongoing CFIUS national security review of Nippon Steel's $14.9 billion bid to acquire US Steel, with the latest extension pushing a presidential decision past December 20 amid opposition from unions, bipartisan lawmakers, and President-elect Trump, who vows to block it. US Steel proposed granting the US government a "golden share" for veto rights on key decisions, fueling speculation of an equity stake to preserve domestic production. No other confirmed equity stakes are imminent, though CHIPS Act grants to Intel and TSMC have sparked related industrial policy talk. Upcoming: Biden's lame-duck ruling before inauguration, potentially setting precedent for government intervention in strategic mergers.

Trader sentiment centers on the ongoing CFIUS national security review of Nippon Steel's $14.9 billion bid to acquire US Steel, with the latest extension pushing a presidential decision past December 20 amid opposition from unions, bipartisan lawmakers, and President-elect Trump, who vows to block it. US Steel proposed granting the US government a "golden share" for veto rights on key decisions, fueling speculation of an equity stake to preserve domestic production. No other confirmed equity stakes are imminent, though CHIPS Act grants to Intel and TSMC have sparked related industrial policy talk. Upcoming: Biden's lame-duck ruling before inauguration, potentially setting precedent for government intervention in strategic mergers.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Lockheed Martin» с 39%, за ним следует «Boeing» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Feb 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» — «Lockheed Martin» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Boeing» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.