Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Chuck Norris" at 51% and "Finish the Job" at 46% implied probability for mentions in President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements from March 29 to April 5, driven by his repetitive use of these signature phrases amid daily commentary on the U.S. military campaign against Iran, where recent posts warned of escalated retaliation over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and claimed Iran's decimation. Yesterday's Truth Social call to end the Senate filibuster for DHS funding amid partial shutdown risks, plus today's ObamaCare reform post, underscore domestic policy focus, while prior FII summit remarks boosted Iran-linked terms like "Khamenei" to 14%. At Mar-a-Lago for executive time and meetings through the weekend, no public events are scheduled, leaving odds sensitive to his prolific posting rhythm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will Trump say this week? (March 29)
What will Trump say this week? (March 29)
$488,776 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
19%
Kaitlan Collins
6%
Eat our Lunch
4%
Ethanol
15%
Embargo
10%
Finish the Job
41%
Khamenei
11%
Chuck Norris
25%
$488,776 Объем
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$20,455 Объем
19%
Kaitlan Collins
$5,753 Объем
6%
Eat our Lunch
$2,720 Объем
4%
Ethanol
$12,172 Объем
15%
Embargo
$8,808 Объем
10%
Finish the Job
$4,663 Объем
41%
Khamenei
$55,844 Объем
11%
Chuck Norris
$11,817 Объем
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Chuck Norris" at 51% and "Finish the Job" at 46% implied probability for mentions in President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements from March 29 to April 5, driven by his repetitive use of these signature phrases amid daily commentary on the U.S. military campaign against Iran, where recent posts warned of escalated retaliation over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and claimed Iran's decimation. Yesterday's Truth Social call to end the Senate filibuster for DHS funding amid partial shutdown risks, plus today's ObamaCare reform post, underscore domestic policy focus, while prior FII summit remarks boosted Iran-linked terms like "Khamenei" to 14%. At Mar-a-Lago for executive time and meetings through the weekend, no public events are scheduled, leaving odds sensitive to his prolific posting rhythm.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$488,776Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Chuck Norris" at 51% and "Finish the Job" at 46% implied probability for mentions in President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements from March 29 to April 5, driven by his repetitive use of these signature phrases amid daily commentary on the U.S. military campaign against Iran, where recent posts warned of escalated retaliation over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and claimed Iran's decimation. Yesterday's Truth Social call to end the Senate filibuster for DHS funding amid partial shutdown risks, plus today's ObamaCare reform post, underscore domestic policy focus, while prior FII summit remarks boosted Iran-linked terms like "Khamenei" to 14%. At Mar-a-Lago for executive time and meetings through the weekend, no public events are scheduled, leaving odds sensitive to his prolific posting rhythm.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Объем
$488,776Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Chuck Norris" at 51% and "Finish the Job" at 46% implied probability for mentions in President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements from March 29 to April 5, driven by his repetitive use of these signature phrases amid daily commentary on the U.S. military campaign against Iran, where recent posts warned of escalated retaliation over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and claimed Iran's decimation. Yesterday's Truth Social call to end the Senate filibuster for DHS funding amid partial shutdown risks, plus today's ObamaCare reform post, underscore domestic policy focus, while prior FII summit remarks boosted Iran-linked terms like "Khamenei" to 14%. At Mar-a-Lago for executive time and meetings through the weekend, no public events are scheduled, leaving odds sensitive to his prolific posting rhythm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы