Market icon

What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?

Market icon

What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?

$46,864 Объем

Dec 11, 2025
Polymarket

$46,864 Объем

Polymarket

Job 5+ times

$8,216 Объем

Yes

Biden 3+ times

$3,352 Объем

No

Hell 2+ times

$1,532 Объем

No

Trump

$4,624 Объем

No

Election / November 5th

$3,567 Объем

No

Christmas

$1,774 Объем

Yes

America First

$3,808 Объем

No

Too big to rig

$760 Объем

No

Border

$1,635 Объем

Yes

Melania

$3,028 Объем

Yes

Usha

$1,491 Объем

Yes

Hanukkah

$3,792 Объем

Yes

Supreme Court

$679 Объем

No

Common Sense

$819 Объем

No

401k

$1,877 Объем

Yes

Barron

$593 Объем

No

Stock Market

$2,613 Объем

Yes

250 / Anniversary

$535 Объем

No

Mike / Johnson

$1,065 Объем

Yes

Our First Lady / Our Great First Lady

$1,104 Объем

Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President delivers remarks at the Congressional Ball" in Washington on December 11, 2025, 8:15PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President delivers remarks at the Congressional Ball" on December 11, 2025, 8:15PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Объем
$46,864
Дата окончания
Dec 11, 2025
Открытие рынка
Dec 11, 2025, 1:22 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President delivers remarks at the Congressional Ball" in Washington on December 11, 2025, 8:15PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President delivers remarks at the Congressional Ball" on December 11, 2025, 8:15PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Job 5+ times" at 100%, followed by "Christmas" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?" has generated $46.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?" is "Job 5+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christmas" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during the Congressional Ball on December 11?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.