Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging dozens of daily posts on election integrity, opponents like Biden and Haley, and legal battles, drives trader sentiment for predictions on his March 16-22 output. Recent Super Tuesday dominance on March 5 boosted victory-themed posts, while ongoing hush money case developments and Fani Willis testimony echoes sustain attacks on "weaponized" justice. Primaries in Florida, Arizona, Illinois, Ohio, and Kansas on March 19 heighten odds of win boasts or rival jabs, per historical patterns. Market odds capture crowd wisdom on recurring motifs, amid uncertainty from unscheduled events like court filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$85,171 Объем
Ass
4%
Lawsuit
30%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
25%
Oscar / Oscars
11%
Hillary / Clinton
8%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
5%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
35%
Filibuster
27%
Stupid
27%
Death to America
7%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
16%
Too Big to Rig
30%
Democrat Shutdown
39%
Mamdani
11%
Texas
14%
Son
15%
Cornyn
6%
Jake Paul
3%
$85,171 Объем
Ass
4%
Lawsuit
30%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
25%
Oscar / Oscars
11%
Hillary / Clinton
8%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
5%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
35%
Filibuster
27%
Stupid
27%
Death to America
7%
Claude / Anthropic
3%
Hamas / Hezbollah
16%
Too Big to Rig
30%
Democrat Shutdown
39%
Mamdani
11%
Texas
14%
Son
15%
Cornyn
6%
Jake Paul
3%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging dozens of daily posts on election integrity, opponents like Biden and Haley, and legal battles, drives trader sentiment for predictions on his March 16-22 output. Recent Super Tuesday dominance on March 5 boosted victory-themed posts, while ongoing hush money case developments and Fani Willis testimony echoes sustain attacks on "weaponized" justice. Primaries in Florida, Arizona, Illinois, Ohio, and Kansas on March 19 heighten odds of win boasts or rival jabs, per historical patterns. Market odds capture crowd wisdom on recurring motifs, amid uncertainty from unscheduled events like court filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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