Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$156,121,399 Объем

Feb 3, 2026

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$156,121,399
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$156,121,399 Объем

2 февраля

$3,118,794 Объем

<1%

3 февраля

$897,220 Объем

1%

4 февраля

$437,526 Объем

1%

5 февраля

$586,610 Объем

2%

6 февраля

$3,154,679 Объем

3%

13 февраля

$2,169,022 Объем

10%

28 февраля

$6,156,666 Объем

24%

20 февраля

$2,419 Объем

17%

31 марта

$5,045,263 Объем

37%

30 июня

$2,840,313 Объем

51%

О нас

Объем
$156,121,399
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.