Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКурды провозглашают независимость от Ирана?
Курды провозглашают независимость от Ирана?
Да
$142,491 Объем
$142,491 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$142,491 Объем
$142,491 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Объем
$142,491Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$142,491Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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