US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 42%
February 1 7.1%
February 2 6.7%
January 2026 6%
$1,236,442 Объем
$1,236,442 Объем
January 2026
$64,986 Объем
6%
January 2026
$64,986 Объем
6%
February 1
$97,596 Объем
7%
February 1
$97,596 Объем
7%
February 2
$41,668 Объем
7%
February 2
$41,668 Объем
7%
February 3
$36,543 Объем
2%
February 3
$36,543 Объем
2%
February 4
$42,349 Объем
2%
February 4
$42,349 Объем
2%
February 5
$34,233 Объем
3%
February 5
$34,233 Объем
3%
February 6
$52,789 Объем
3%
February 6
$52,789 Объем
3%
February 7
$32,108 Объем
4%
February 7
$32,108 Объем
4%
February 8
$32,175 Объем
3%
February 8
$32,175 Объем
3%
February 9
$34,095 Объем
2%
February 9
$34,095 Объем
2%
February 10
$31,880 Объем
2%
February 10
$31,880 Объем
2%
February 11
$28,753 Объем
2%
February 11
$28,753 Объем
2%
February 12
$32,322 Объем
1%
February 12
$32,322 Объем
1%
February 13
$30,702 Объем
2%
February 13
$30,702 Объем
2%
February 14
$39,916 Объем
3%
February 14
$39,916 Объем
3%
February 15
$38,234 Объем
1%
February 15
$38,234 Объем
1%
February 16
$36,345 Объем
1%
February 16
$36,345 Объем
1%
February 17
$40,628 Объем
1%
February 17
$40,628 Объем
1%
February 18
$37,024 Объем
1%
February 18
$37,024 Объем
1%
February 19
$34,529 Объем
1%
February 19
$34,529 Объем
1%
February 20
$34,040 Объем
2%
February 20
$34,040 Объем
2%
February 21
$37,966 Объем
2%
February 21
$37,966 Объем
2%
February 22
$39,449 Объем
1%
February 22
$39,449 Объем
1%
February 23
$43,133 Объем
1%
February 23
$43,133 Объем
1%
February 24
$39,729 Объем
1%
February 24
$39,729 Объем
1%
February 25
$42,084 Объем
1%
February 25
$42,084 Объем
1%
February 26
$40,416 Объем
1%
February 26
$40,416 Объем
1%
February 27
$48,143 Объем
2%
February 27
$48,143 Объем
2%
February 28
$46,701 Объем
2%
February 28
$46,701 Объем
2%
No strike by February 28
$45,907 Объем
42%
No strike by February 28
$45,907 Объем
42%
Правила
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Создано: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 42%
February 1 7.1%
February 2 6.7%
January 2026 6%
$1,236,442 Объем
$1,236,442 Объем
January 2026
6%
February 1
7%
February 2
7%
February 3
2%
February 4
2%
February 5
3%
February 6
3%
February 7
4%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
3%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
2%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
42%
О событии
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.