Tensions surrounding the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad persist amid over 200 attacks by Iran-backed militias on American positions in Iraq and Syria since October 2023, including drone and rocket strikes as recently as early October 2024. The U.S. responded with airstrikes on militia facilities in Iraq on October 4, prompting threats from groups like Kata'ib Hezbollah to target the embassy directly if strikes continue. No evacuation orders have been issued, with embassy operations maintained under heightened security protocols, reflecting diplomatic efforts to avoid full withdrawal while monitoring escalation risks tied to Israel-Iran hostilities and Lebanon border clashes. Traders eye upcoming U.S. diplomatic signals or militia actions that could prompt partial drawdowns before any resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$343,302 Объем
Feb 28, 2026
31 марта
4%
30 апреля
15%
$343,302 Объем
31 марта
$287,866 Объем
4%
30 апреля
$1,445 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Tensions surrounding the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad persist amid over 200 attacks by Iran-backed militias on American positions in Iraq and Syria since October 2023, including drone and rocket strikes as recently as early October 2024. The U.S. responded with airstrikes on militia facilities in Iraq on October 4, prompting threats from groups like Kata'ib Hezbollah to target the embassy directly if strikes continue. No evacuation orders have been issued, with embassy operations maintained under heightened security protocols, reflecting diplomatic efforts to avoid full withdrawal while monitoring escalation risks tied to Israel-Iran hostilities and Lebanon border clashes. Traders eye upcoming U.S. diplomatic signals or militia actions that could prompt partial drawdowns before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Объем
$343,302Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Tensions surrounding the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad persist amid over 200 attacks by Iran-backed militias on American positions in Iraq and Syria since October 2023, including drone and rocket strikes as recently as early October 2024. The U.S. responded with airstrikes on militia facilities in Iraq on October 4, prompting threats from groups like Kata'ib Hezbollah to target the embassy directly if strikes continue. No evacuation orders have been issued, with embassy operations maintained under heightened security protocols, reflecting diplomatic efforts to avoid full withdrawal while monitoring escalation risks tied to Israel-Iran hostilities and Lebanon border clashes. Traders eye upcoming U.S. diplomatic signals or militia actions that could prompt partial drawdowns before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Объем
$343,302Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions surrounding the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad persist amid over 200 attacks by Iran-backed militias on American positions in Iraq and Syria since October 2023, including drone and rocket strikes as recently as early October 2024. The U.S. responded with airstrikes on militia facilities in Iraq on October 4, prompting threats from groups like Kata'ib Hezbollah to target the embassy directly if strikes continue. No evacuation orders have been issued, with embassy operations maintained under heightened security protocols, reflecting diplomatic efforts to avoid full withdrawal while monitoring escalation risks tied to Israel-Iran hostilities and Lebanon border clashes. Traders eye upcoming U.S. diplomatic signals or militia actions that could prompt partial drawdowns before any resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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