Traders heavily favor "No" at 91.5% implied probability for any U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise exiting over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the lack of recent credible disclosures or official actions targeting sitting lawmakers. Previously unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell case in January reiterated past associations involving figures like former President Clinton but yielded no new criminal allegations against current members, prompting zero House Ethics Committee probes, DOJ indictments, or resignation demands. With no further document releases scheduled and the deadline approaching, unverified social media rumors have failed to move markets. Late-breaking evidence or special counsel developments could still alter odds, though historical precedent shows such files rarely trigger immediate congressional departures absent verified misconduct.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders heavily favor "No" at 91.5% implied probability for any U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise exiting over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the lack of recent credible disclosures or official actions targeting sitting lawmakers. Previously unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell case in January reiterated past associations involving figures like former President Clinton but yielded no new criminal allegations against current members, prompting zero House Ethics Committee probes, DOJ indictments, or resignation demands. With no further document releases scheduled and the deadline approaching, unverified social media rumors have failed to move markets. Late-breaking evidence or special counsel developments could still alter odds, though historical precedent shows such files rarely trigger immediate congressional departures absent verified misconduct.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders heavily favor "No" at 91.5% implied probability for any U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise exiting over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the lack of recent credible disclosures or official actions targeting sitting lawmakers. Previously unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell case in January reiterated past associations involving figures like former President Clinton but yielded no new criminal allegations against current members, prompting zero House Ethics Committee probes, DOJ indictments, or resignation demands. With no further document releases scheduled and the deadline approaching, unverified social media rumors have failed to move markets. Late-breaking evidence or special counsel developments could still alter odds, though historical precedent shows such files rarely trigger immediate congressional departures absent verified misconduct.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders heavily favor "No" at 91.5% implied probability for any U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise exiting over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the lack of recent credible disclosures or official actions targeting sitting lawmakers. Previously unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell case in January reiterated past associations involving figures like former President Clinton but yielded no new criminal allegations against current members, prompting zero House Ethics Committee probes, DOJ indictments, or resignation demands. With no further document releases scheduled and the deadline approaching, unverified social media rumors have failed to move markets. Late-breaking evidence or special counsel developments could still alter odds, though historical precedent shows such files rarely trigger immediate congressional departures absent verified misconduct.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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