Traders' strong 92% consensus on "No" reflects the absence of any verified connections in unsealed Epstein court documents tying current U.S. Congress members to criminal activity warranting resignation. The latest major document release on January 3-4, 2024, named historical figures like former Sen. George Mitchell and ex-Gov. Bill Richardson but implicated no sitting House or Senate members in a manner prompting official probes, ethics investigations, or withdrawals. With the April 30 deadline approaching and no new filings, hearings, or DOJ actions announced, the market views structural barriers—such as evidentiary thresholds and political insulation—as maintaining the status quo, though late-breaking revelations could theoretically shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders' strong 92% consensus on "No" reflects the absence of any verified connections in unsealed Epstein court documents tying current U.S. Congress members to criminal activity warranting resignation. The latest major document release on January 3-4, 2024, named historical figures like former Sen. George Mitchell and ex-Gov. Bill Richardson but implicated no sitting House or Senate members in a manner prompting official probes, ethics investigations, or withdrawals. With the April 30 deadline approaching and no new filings, hearings, or DOJ actions announced, the market views structural barriers—such as evidentiary thresholds and political insulation—as maintaining the status quo, though late-breaking revelations could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders' strong 92% consensus on "No" reflects the absence of any verified connections in unsealed Epstein court documents tying current U.S. Congress members to criminal activity warranting resignation. The latest major document release on January 3-4, 2024, named historical figures like former Sen. George Mitchell and ex-Gov. Bill Richardson but implicated no sitting House or Senate members in a manner prompting official probes, ethics investigations, or withdrawals. With the April 30 deadline approaching and no new filings, hearings, or DOJ actions announced, the market views structural barriers—such as evidentiary thresholds and political insulation—as maintaining the status quo, though late-breaking revelations could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong 92% consensus on "No" reflects the absence of any verified connections in unsealed Epstein court documents tying current U.S. Congress members to criminal activity warranting resignation. The latest major document release on January 3-4, 2024, named historical figures like former Sen. George Mitchell and ex-Gov. Bill Richardson but implicated no sitting House or Senate members in a manner prompting official probes, ethics investigations, or withdrawals. With the April 30 deadline approaching and no new filings, hearings, or DOJ actions announced, the market views structural barriers—such as evidentiary thresholds and political insulation—as maintaining the status quo, though late-breaking revelations could theoretically shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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