Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 80% victory in the March 3 Texas primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in TX-03, a solidly Republican Dallas-area district with a Cook PVI of R+11, driving trader consensus to 87% for the GOP in the November general election. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed in his primary, but faces steep odds amid Self's proven 62% general election margin in 2024 and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Safe or Solid Republican despite minor redistricting adding rural voters. No recent polling or catalysts have emerged to challenge this incumbency advantage in the low-turnout early cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTX-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 80% victory in the March 3 Texas primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in TX-03, a solidly Republican Dallas-area district with a Cook PVI of R+11, driving trader consensus to 87% for the GOP in the November general election. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed in his primary, but faces steep odds amid Self's proven 62% general election margin in 2024 and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Safe or Solid Republican despite minor redistricting adding rural voters. No recent polling or catalysts have emerged to challenge this incumbency advantage in the low-turnout early cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 80% victory in the March 3 Texas primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in TX-03, a solidly Republican Dallas-area district with a Cook PVI of R+11, driving trader consensus to 87% for the GOP in the November general election. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed in his primary, but faces steep odds amid Self's proven 62% general election margin in 2024 and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Safe or Solid Republican despite minor redistricting adding rural voters. No recent polling or catalysts have emerged to challenge this incumbency advantage in the low-turnout early cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 80% victory in the March 3 Texas primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in TX-03, a solidly Republican Dallas-area district with a Cook PVI of R+11, driving trader consensus to 87% for the GOP in the November general election. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed in his primary, but faces steep odds amid Self's proven 62% general election margin in 2024 and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Safe or Solid Republican despite minor redistricting adding rural voters. No recent polling or catalysts have emerged to challenge this incumbency advantage in the low-turnout early cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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