Trump by 0.1-0.4 99.4%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 2.0%
Harris by 1.0-1.4+ 1.9%
Trump by 2.5+ <1%
$448,627 Объем
$448,627 Объем
Trump by 2.5+
No
Trump by 2-2.4
No
Trump by 1.5-1.9
No
Trump by 1-1.4
No
Trump by 0.5-0.9
No
Trump by 0.1-0.4
Yes
Harris by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
No
Harris by 1.0-1.4+
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
No
Harris by 2-2.4
No
Harris by 2.5+
No
Trump by 0.1-0.4 99.4%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 2.0%
Harris by 1.0-1.4+ 1.9%
Trump by 2.5+ <1%
$448,627 Объем
$448,627 Объем
Trump by 2.5+
No
Trump by 2-2.4
No
Trump by 1.5-1.9
No
Trump by 1-1.4
No
Trump by 0.5-0.9
No
Trump by 0.1-0.4
Yes
Harris by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
No
Harris by 1.0-1.4+
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
No
Harris by 2-2.4
No
Harris by 2.5+
No
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +2.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Дата создания: Oct 25, 2024, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No

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