Market icon

Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?

Market icon

Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$183,085 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$183,085 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$183,085
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2025, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$183,085
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2025, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $183.1K с момента запуска рынка Apr 4, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.