Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third domestic weekend gross falling under $44 million, with early Sunday estimates pegging it at $30 million—a 56% plunge from its $68 million sophomore frame and steeper than the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's 35% third-week drop in 2023. This front-loaded trajectory stems from the sequel's mixed critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes, A- CinemaScore signaling softer word-of-mouth) and fresh competition like Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million, eroding family audiences despite holding No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable mid-weekend surge from viral social buzz or premium format boosts, but tracking and historical animated legs make $44 million+ a remote outlier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКасса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»
Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»
<44 млн 100.0%
48-52 млн <1%
>52 млн <1%
44-48 млн <1%
$143,121 Объем
$143,121 Объем
<44 млн
100%
44-48 млн
<1%
48-52 млн
<1%
>52 млн
<1%
<44 млн 100.0%
48-52 млн <1%
>52 млн <1%
44-48 млн <1%
$143,121 Объем
$143,121 Объем
<44 млн
100%
44-48 млн
<1%
48-52 млн
<1%
>52 млн
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third domestic weekend gross falling under $44 million, with early Sunday estimates pegging it at $30 million—a 56% plunge from its $68 million sophomore frame and steeper than the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's 35% third-week drop in 2023. This front-loaded trajectory stems from the sequel's mixed critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes, A- CinemaScore signaling softer word-of-mouth) and fresh competition like Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million, eroding family audiences despite holding No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable mid-weekend surge from viral social buzz or premium format boosts, but tracking and historical animated legs make $44 million+ a remote outlier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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