Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,465,900 Объем
$2,465,900 Объем
<40
Нет
40-64
Да
65-89
Нет
90-114
Нет
115-139
Нет
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190-214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,465,900 Объем
$2,465,900 Объем
<40
Нет
40-64
Да
65-89
Нет
90-114
Нет
115-139
Нет
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190-214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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