President Trump's February 20 directive to federal agencies, including the Pentagon, to prepare and release government files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) and potential extraterrestrial life—prompted by former President Obama's recent comments—marks the key catalyst shaping trader consensus, yet no new declassifications have materialized over five weeks later. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed ongoing Pentagon efforts on February 24, but bureaucratic reviews across agencies like the Department of Defense and intelligence community have delayed action, fueling skepticism for imminent releases. Traders weigh historical declassification timelines, such as multi-month processes for prior UAP reports, against Trump's transparency pledges, with upcoming interagency coordination or executive actions potentially accelerating disclosure before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$126,187 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
31 марта
3%
30 апреля
28%
31 декабря
76%
$126,187 Объем
31 марта
$101,557 Объем
3%
30 апреля
$14,032 Объем
28%
31 декабря
$10,598 Объем
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 20 directive to federal agencies, including the Pentagon, to prepare and release government files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) and potential extraterrestrial life—prompted by former President Obama's recent comments—marks the key catalyst shaping trader consensus, yet no new declassifications have materialized over five weeks later. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed ongoing Pentagon efforts on February 24, but bureaucratic reviews across agencies like the Department of Defense and intelligence community have delayed action, fueling skepticism for imminent releases. Traders weigh historical declassification timelines, such as multi-month processes for prior UAP reports, against Trump's transparency pledges, with upcoming interagency coordination or executive actions potentially accelerating disclosure before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Объем
$126,187Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 20 directive to federal agencies, including the Pentagon, to prepare and release government files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) and potential extraterrestrial life—prompted by former President Obama's recent comments—marks the key catalyst shaping trader consensus, yet no new declassifications have materialized over five weeks later. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed ongoing Pentagon efforts on February 24, but bureaucratic reviews across agencies like the Department of Defense and intelligence community have delayed action, fueling skepticism for imminent releases. Traders weigh historical declassification timelines, such as multi-month processes for prior UAP reports, against Trump's transparency pledges, with upcoming interagency coordination or executive actions potentially accelerating disclosure before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$126,187Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's February 20 directive to federal agencies, including the Pentagon, to prepare and release government files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) and potential extraterrestrial life—prompted by former President Obama's recent comments—marks the key catalyst shaping trader consensus, yet no new declassifications have materialized over five weeks later. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed ongoing Pentagon efforts on February 24, but bureaucratic reviews across agencies like the Department of Defense and intelligence community have delayed action, fueling skepticism for imminent releases. Traders weigh historical declassification timelines, such as multi-month processes for prior UAP reports, against Trump's transparency pledges, with upcoming interagency coordination or executive actions potentially accelerating disclosure before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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