Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton prevailing by a solid margin in the May 26 Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Paxton 9%+ at 30.3% and 6–9% at 24%, reflecting recent polls like Quantus Insights (March 24: Paxton 49%, Cornyn 41%). This edge stems from Paxton's momentum after a razor-thin March 3 primary (Cornyn 41.9%, Paxton 40.7%), bolstered by his recent Mar-a-Lago meeting with President Trump—who has withheld endorsement from Cornyn—NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund abandoning Cornyn funding, and Sen. Ted Cruz staying neutral. The race remains competitive due to incumbency advantages and undecided voters, but a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or strong debate performance could widen separation ahead of May 18 early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPaxton 9%+ 30.3%
Paxton 6–9% 24%
Cornyn 9%+ 12%
Paxton <3% 10.6%
$38,276 Объем
$38,276 Объем
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
30%
Paxton 6–9%
24%
Paxton 3–6%
11%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
9%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
1%
Cornyn 9%+
12%
Paxton 9%+ 30.3%
Paxton 6–9% 24%
Cornyn 9%+ 12%
Paxton <3% 10.6%
$38,276 Объем
$38,276 Объем
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$5,885 Объем
30%
Paxton 6–9%
$4,849 Объем
24%
Paxton 3–6%
$3,839 Объем
11%
Paxton <3%
$5,787 Объем
11%
Cornyn <3%
$3,441 Объем
9%
Cornyn 3–6%
$3,813 Объем
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$4,074 Объем
1%
Cornyn 9%+
$6,587 Объем
12%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton prevailing by a solid margin in the May 26 Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Paxton 9%+ at 30.3% and 6–9% at 24%, reflecting recent polls like Quantus Insights (March 24: Paxton 49%, Cornyn 41%). This edge stems from Paxton's momentum after a razor-thin March 3 primary (Cornyn 41.9%, Paxton 40.7%), bolstered by his recent Mar-a-Lago meeting with President Trump—who has withheld endorsement from Cornyn—NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund abandoning Cornyn funding, and Sen. Ted Cruz staying neutral. The race remains competitive due to incumbency advantages and undecided voters, but a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or strong debate performance could widen separation ahead of May 18 early voting.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Объем
$38,276Дата окончания
May 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton prevailing by a solid margin in the May 26 Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Paxton 9%+ at 30.3% and 6–9% at 24%, reflecting recent polls like Quantus Insights (March 24: Paxton 49%, Cornyn 41%). This edge stems from Paxton's momentum after a razor-thin March 3 primary (Cornyn 41.9%, Paxton 40.7%), bolstered by his recent Mar-a-Lago meeting with President Trump—who has withheld endorsement from Cornyn—NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund abandoning Cornyn funding, and Sen. Ted Cruz staying neutral. The race remains competitive due to incumbency advantages and undecided voters, but a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or strong debate performance could widen separation ahead of May 18 early voting.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$38,276Дата окончания
May 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton prevailing by a solid margin in the May 26 Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Paxton 9%+ at 30.3% and 6–9% at 24%, reflecting recent polls like Quantus Insights (March 24: Paxton 49%, Cornyn 41%). This edge stems from Paxton's momentum after a razor-thin March 3 primary (Cornyn 41.9%, Paxton 40.7%), bolstered by his recent Mar-a-Lago meeting with President Trump—who has withheld endorsement from Cornyn—NRSC and Senate Leadership Fund abandoning Cornyn funding, and Sen. Ted Cruz staying neutral. The race remains competitive due to incumbency advantages and undecided voters, but a Trump endorsement for Cornyn or strong debate performance could widen separation ahead of May 18 early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы